Politics 17:16 04/05/2016

Azerbaijan unlikely wants to suffer another defeat in May, Alexandr Margarov comments possible escalation in Karabakh

The South Caucasus policy tends to change rapidly, political scientist Alexandr Margarov told reporters at the press conference held in Yerevan. According to the speaker, the situation is constantly changing in the Line of Contact between Nagorno Karabakh and Azerbaijan as well.

“If previous discussion were primarily about the low intensity of the military operations, the situation changed after early April developments for the Armenian sides as well.  This requires new responses as to how we see the future settlement of the conflict,” the speaker said.

Margarov outlined different scenarios for possible developments, one of them - getting back to the situation before early April, the other - resuming the military actions at a higher intensity, and the last, as a scenario of less likelihood - returning to the negotiation table out of certain considerations for each party.   

“Proposals laid on the negotiation table are more or less understandable, and the questions are whether the parties are ready to use them,” Margarov asked.

The speaker then added that a constructive scenario should be found to exit the situation occurred as the negotiation process does not work, though other parties are involved aiming avoiding the conflict to keep at hot phase.   

“They are assigned with relative tasks.  The question is to what extent those may be brought into reality. Considering the previous experience it is unlikely that the OSCE Minsk Group may issue targeted statements and calls to Azerbaijan to cease the military operations or the threat of them. Ultimately, Azerbaijan may annoy the Co-Chairman and the latter may warn it Azerbaijan through official and semi-official channels about the lack of guarantee that Armenia may not recognize the Nagorno Karabakh Republic  - that was pledged to avoid earlier,” Margarov said.

In response to the question whether Azerbaijan may escalate the situation during May holidays, the political scientist referred to a matter of calculation by Azerbaijan:  “It is unlikely that Azerbaijan wants to start a process and suffer another defeat. First, they should be confident about having some success which is not guaranteed by anybody,” Margrarov stressed.



Source Panorama.am
Share |
Տեքստում սխալ կամ վրիպակ նկատելու դեպքում, ուղարկեք խմբագրին հաղորդագրություն` նշելով տվյալ սխալը, այնուհետև սեղմելով Ctrl-Enter:

Newsfeed

16:36
Statement on border delimitation deal violates Armenian laws, activist claims
The statement on a border delimitation agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan issued by the Armenian Foreign Ministry on Friday runs counter...
16:00
Azerbaijan 'restoring' Shushi's Realni School
After 2020, Shushi has become the focal point of Azerbaijan's efforts to erase, appropriate, and expropriate Armenian historical and...
15:35
Pashinyan: Russian border guards will leave Tavush
Russian border guards will leave Armenia’s Tavush Province following the delimitation of the border with Azerbaijan, Prime Minister Nikol...
15:05
109-year-old Armenian Genocide survivor honored at Mass. State House
Thundering applause filled the House of Representatives chamber at the Massachusetts State House Friday morning, as lawmakers and visitors...
14:36
Armenian interior minister meets with protesters in Tavush
Armenia’s Interior Minister Vahe Ghazaryan on Saturday travelled to the village of Kirants in Tavush Province to meet with local residents...
14:04
Azerbaijan completely destroys Ghazanchetsots cemetery in Shushi
Satellite imagery dated April 4 shows that the destruction of the Ghazanchetsots cemetery in...
13:37
Armenian expert slams land handover to Azerbaijan
Political analyst Edgar Elbakyan has denounced the planned handover of four border villages in Armenia’s Tavush Province to Azerbaijan,...
13:04
Protesters block street in Yerevan
A group of people staged a protest near Yerevan’s Liberty Square on Saturday after the Armenian authorities announced a border...
12:30
Blinken welcomes Armenia-Azerbaijan border delimitation deal
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has welcomed Friday's agreement on the delimitation of the state border between Armenia and...
12:06
Armenian border residents protest land handover to Azerbaijan
Residents of several communities in Armenia’s Tavush Province on Saturday resumed protests against the planned land handover to...
11:30
UN chief welcomes Armenia-Azerbaijan border delimitation agreement
UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has welcomed Friday's agreement on the delimitation of the state border between Armenia and...
11:15
Armenia's Vahagn Davtyan wins gold at Gymnastics World Cup
Vahagn Davtyan of the Armenian gymnastics team has clinched a gold medal at the Gymnastics World Cup in Doha. Davtyan scored a total...
11:00
Valuable manuscripts being restored at Armenian Museum of America
Yerevan's Matenadaran is actively supporting the restoration of manuscripts from partner institutions abroad. Currently, the head of the...
17:06
Armenian villagers protest over lack of irrigation water
More than a hundred residents of Vardanashen, a village in Armenia’s Armavir Province, on Friday blocked the Yerevan-Margara highway...
16:45
Angelina Jolie accuses Brad Pitt of trying to 'bleed her dry'
It's a breakup that's lasted almost as long as the relationship that preceded it. Dubbed 'the war of the rosés,'...
16:35
Court in Yerevan rejects police lawsuit against oppositionist
The Administrative Court in Yerevan has rejected a lawsuit filed by the police against Karen Vrtanesyan, an expert on military and warfare...
15:59
Exhibition of sculptures dedicated to Charles Aznavour to be held in Yerevan
Yerevan's Two Arcs Art Space will be hosting an interactive exhibition of sculptures created by sculptor Mkrtich Mazmanian and...
15:40
Ruben Vardanyan launches hunger strike in Baku, demands release of all Armenian prisoners
The family of illegally detained philanthropist, Ruben Vardanyan, announced today that he entered into a hunger strike to demand the immediate...
15:06
Lavrov: Russia still considers Armenia an ally
Russia still considers Armenia an ally not only legally, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has said, highlighting Moscow's...
14:33
Stepantsminda-Larsi road closed to trucks
The Rescue Service has warned drivers about closed roads in Armenia on Friday afternoon. In particular, the roads linking the Amberd high...
14:14
Expert: What Russia gains from troop withdrawal from Artsakh?
The withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers from Artsakh (Nagorno-Karabakh) could signal a new conspiracy against Armenia, says Armen Petrosyan, a...
13:34
Opposition MP: Pashinyan lying about possible territory swap with Azerbaijan
Opposition MP Tigran Abrahamyan has brushed aside Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s claims about a possible swap of territories with...
12:34
Cyprus parliament honors Armenian Genocide victims
The Cyprus House of Representatives on Thursday evening observed a minute’s silence for the victims of the Armenian genocide, with the...
12:15
EFJ and UJA demand immediate release of Narek Samsonyan and Vazgen Saghatelyan
The European Federation of Journalists (EFJ) joined its affiliate in Armenia, the Union of Journalists of Armenia (UJA), in denouncing the...
11:36
Baku must fulfil number of requirements to return to PACE, rapporteur says
Norwegian MP Lise Christoffersen, a PACE co-rapporteur on Azerbaijan, said that the Committee of Ministers is holding talks on Azerbaijan's...
11:16
Azerbaijan destroyed Kanach Zham in Shushi
Azerbaijan has destroyed the Armenian church of St. Hovhannes Mkrtich (St. John the Baptist) in Shushi, Artsakh, the Caucasus...
11:00
Iranian air defenses down three drones near Isfahan
Iranian state media said the country’s air defences brought down three small drones over the central city of Isfahan, hours after United...
17:05
Political prisoner Vazgen Saghatelyan blasts Pashinyan for crackdown on critics
Political prisoner Vazgen Saghatelyan, co-host of the Imnemnimi podcast who is currently held in pre-trial detention in the Armavir...
16:34
Iran threatens Israeli nuclear sites should its own be attacked
Iran could review its nuclear doctrine, says a senior Iranian Revolutionary Guards commander, according to state media agency Tasnim....
16:11
Mkhitaryan calls chance for Inter to clinch Serie A title 'crazy' and 'historic'
Henrikh Mkhitaryan feels that the chance for Inter Milan to clinch the Serie A title against AC Milan is “crazy” and...

Follow us and get updates!

Most popular articles

{"core.blocks.header.spell_message1":"Selected mistake: ","core.blocks.header.spell_message2":"Send a message about the mistake?"}