Economy 13:05 01/03/2022 Armenia

How Russia-Ukraine war will impact Armenia's economy

Against the backdrop of the Russia-Ukraine war, the West approved a package of sanctions against Russia. The sanctions may also affect the Armenian economy to some extent, since Russia is Armenia's key trade partner and accounts for a large share of Armenian exports, thus the country cannot remain aloof from these processes.

The war has already started to negatively impact the economy. First, the ruble is rapidly depreciating against the dollar and the euro, which will create problems for exports of Armenian goods.

Economists say that the sanctions will cause both economic and financial losses. In particular, investments and the volume of private transfers are expected to drop sharply, while the decline in the solvency of the Russian market may lead to a reduction in exports from Armenia to the country.

"The devaluation of the Russian ruble means that Russians' purchasing power will significantly decrease, i.e. Russian consumers will be able to buy almost two and a half times less goods for the same amount," economist Tatul Manaseryan, head of the Alternative Research Center, said in an interview to Panorama.am on Monday.

Naturally, according to him, exports of Armenian goods to Russia will cut and the Armenian products will become uncompetitive in the Russian market due to the ruble devaluation.

"The Armenian dram has revalued against the Russian ruble and the Ukrainian hryvnia, which means that the prices of exported products have increased and the demand for goods exported from Armenia will decrease in these markets. Naturally, the export rate cannot remain the same,” the economist explained.

“Therefore, Armenia should try to find new markets for both exports and imports. The more we diversify the imports and exports sources, the more flexible and competitive our economy will be," Manaseryan added.

According to the economist, due to the devaluation of the Russian ruble, transfers may decrease, thus the income of people living on remittances will also decrease.

"The reduction in private transfers will lead to a drop in the people’s purchasing power. It will also have a negative impact, as 10-12% of Armenia's population lives off remittances. Here we will see a certain increase in poverty, which will reduce consumption in Armenia," he said.



Source Panorama.am
Share |
Տեքստում սխալ կամ վրիպակ նկատելու դեպքում, ուղարկեք խմբագրին հաղորդագրություն` նշելով տվյալ սխալը, այնուհետև սեղմելով Ctrl-Enter:

Newsfeed

17:00
Rains to persist across Armenia
Heavy rains and thunderstorms coupled with strong winds will persist across Armenia over the weekend and next week. Hail is also possible in...
16:45
Ukraine unveils world's first AI-generated foreign ministry spokesperson
Ukraine on Wednesday presented an AI-generated spokesperson called Victoria who will make official statements on behalf of its foreign...
16:36
March against land handover to Azerbaijan begins in Armenia
The Tavush for the Homeland movement on Saturday started a march from the border village of Kirants to Yerevan after prayers offered by...
16:11
Tavush movement announces march to Yerevan
The Tavush for the Homeland movement will hold a march from the Armenian border village of Kirants to Yerevan to demand that Prime Minister...
15:25
Expert: Azerbaijan's takeover of Armenia guaranteed under current government
The continued rule of Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s government provides the only real guarantee for the takeover of...
14:30
Azerbaijan destroys Pantheon of Heroes in Stepanakert
The Azerbaijani authorities continue with their policy of destroying memorial complexes honoring fallen heroes in occupied Artsakh...
14:05
Floods and landslide kill more than a dozen people in Indonesia
Landslides and flooding triggered by heavy rains in Indonesia’s South Sulawesi province have killed at least 15 people after dozens of...
13:36
German Armenian council expresses unwavering support for Tavush movement
The Central Council of German Armenians expresses its unwavering support to the Tavush for the Homeland movement and is concerned about the...
13:11
Yerevan streets turn into raging rivers after downpour
Torrential rain turned streets in Yerevan into raging rivers on Friday night. Videos show cars stuck on a flooded road near the intersection...
12:36
European Wushu Championships: Armenia's Davit Vardanyan beats Azeri rival to reach semis
Armenia’s Davit Vardanyan advanced to the semifinals of the 19th European Wushu Championships after defeating Elchin Eminov of Azerbaijan...
12:02
Texas Rep. Cuellar, wife charged in bribery scheme linked to Azerbaijan
U.S. Rep. Henry Cuellar of Texas and his wife were indicted on conspiracy and bribery charges and taken into custody Friday in connection with a...
11:35
Envoy: Lithuania shared its experience with Yerevan and Baku for unlocking communications
In the context of opening communications, Lithuania has repeatedly shared its experience within the Kaliningrad transit scheme which it has with...
11:16
Eurowings launches Berlin-Yerevan flights
German low-cost airline Eurowings launched flights between the German capital Berlin and Yerevan, Armenia's capital, on 4...
11:00
Armenian Defense Ministry denies reports of Azeri shooting
The Armenian Defense Ministry on Saturday refuted the reports that Azerbaijani forces opened fire on Armenian combat positions in...
17:00
Fire with toxic smoke breaks out at Berlin plant
A fire with toxic smoke has broken out at a metallurgical plant of German defence industry company Diehl Metal Applications GmbH that...
16:45
Exhibition in Larnaca pays tribute to Armenian Genocide victims
On the occasion of the Remembrance Day of the Armenian Genocide, artist Khaldoon Daud presents his work in Larnaca in an exhibition titled...
16:36
Armenian Prosecutor's Office sent crime report against Pashinyan to NSS
The Armenian Prosecutor General's Office has forwarded a request to bring criminal charges against Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan to the...
16:15
UK's opposition party claims big early win over PM Sunak's Conservatives
Britain's opposition Labour Party won a parliamentary seat in northern England on Friday and control of several councils, inflicting heavy...
15:49
'If Nikol stays in power': awareness campaign held in Armenia
An awareness campaign held in different parts of Armenia warns of the Azerbaijani takeover of more Armenian settlements if Prime Minister...
15:24
Armenian opposition leader decries border delimitation with Azerbaijan
Seyran Ohanyan, a former defense minister leading the opposition Hayastan faction in the Armenian parliament, called out the ruling Civil...
14:35
Opposition MP calls attention to politically motivated detentions in Armenia
Opposition MP Artsvik Minasyan has dismissed the Armenian government’s claims that there are no political prisoners in Armenia....
13:59
Armenia facing 'unprecedented level of disinformation', report reveals
Political attacks on press freedom, including the detention of journalists, suppression of independent media outlets and widespread...
13:16
Turkey halts all trade with Israel
Turkey has suspended all trade with Israel over its offensive in Gaza, citing the "worsening humanitarian tragedy" in the...
13:01
Tavush religious leader again denied entry to border village
Archbishop Bagrat Galstanyan, Primate of the Tavush Diocese of the Armenian Apostolic Church, as well as opposition MP Garnik Danielyan and...
12:29
New leader of Yerevan's central district named
Yerevan Mayor Tigran Avinyan has appointed Petros Petoyan as new head of the Kentron administrative district in the Armenian capital....
11:59
70% of environmental journalists attacked for their work, UNESCO report reveals
A new report published by UNESCO on World Press Freedom Day, 3 May, warns of increasing violence against, and intimidation of journalists...
11:45
Preliminary probe in case against Armenian opposition activists over
The preliminary investigation of the criminal case involving opposition activists Narek Samsonyan and Vazgen Saghatelyan, co-hosts of the...
11:15
Cyprus welcomes positive steps taken by Armenia, Azerbaijan
Cyprus welcomes the positive steps taken by Armenia and Azerbaijan to use the Alma Ata Declaration as a basis for border delimitation, the...
11:00
Baritone Navasard Hakobyan among participants of Young Singers Project
The Salzburg Festival has announced the list of participants for the Young Singers Project 2024. 16 participants have been selected among...
17:03
Video shows brutal detention of protesters in Armenian border village
A video released by the Tavush for the Homeland movement shows police officers using excessive force to detain protesters blocking a strategic...

Follow us and get updates!

Most popular articles

{"core.blocks.header.spell_message1":"Selected mistake: ","core.blocks.header.spell_message2":"Send a message about the mistake?"}